Case Study: Local Control Basket

THE PROBLEM

Our client sought to evaluate the effectiveness of radio advertising on a national scale by running a 6-week test campaign across 8 select local markets.

The objective was to assess whether radio could drive significant incremental sessions and justify a broader, national rollout.

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OUR CHALLENGE

To provide meaningful insights, we needed to:

  1. Develop a local control basket model for each of the 8 markets.

  2. Measure the aggregate incremental sessions driven by radio in each market.

  3. Use this data to estimate national cost per session and cost per sale.

OUR SOLUTION

We implemented a local control basket model for each test market, which allowed us to:

  • Accurately measure incremental sessions across diverse regions.

  • Identify high-performing markets with strong signal responses, while noting areas with minimal lift.

  • Calculate an aggregated cost per session to forecast a projected national cost per session and cost per sale.

THE RESULTS

The insights from this local test were compelling:

  • Our analysis provided a clear cost per session forecast at a national level, enabling the client to make informed budgeting decisions.

  • Based on the positive results, the client confidently expanded their media mix to include national radio with a significant weekly spend exceeding $100K.

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